France Leads Odds for 2026 World Cup Playoffs, Argentina Second
June 28, 2026 · Sara Martínez
Opta's supercomputer has calculated the probabilities for teams in the 2026 World Cup playoffs, placing France as the favorite to win the tournament.
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Opta's supercomputer has assessed the chances of the teams that have advanced to the 2026 World Cup playoffs, predicting their likelihood of winning the tournament. France tops the list with a success probability of 18.66%. Here are the top 10 contenders for the 2026 World Cup title according to Opta: 1. France — 18.66%. 2. Argentina — 16.26%. 3. Spain — 13.47%. 4. England — 9.68%. 5. Brazil — 6.47%. 6. Netherlands — 5.11%. 7. Portugal — 4.74%. 8. Germany — 4.36%. 9. Colombia — 3.19%. 10. Norway — 2.95%. Both France and Argentina were finalists in the 2022 World Cup. The 2026 World Cup will take place in the USA, Canada, and Mexico starting June 11, with the final scheduled for July 19 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
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