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Lionel Messi huge favorite to win historic third World Cup Golden
World Cup 2026

Lionel Messi huge favorite to win historic third World Cup Golden

July 18, 2026 · Manuel Ángel Gómez

Home›World Cup 2026›Lionel Messi huge favorite to win historic third World Cup Golden

Lionel Messi is the favorite to win the Golden Ball at the World Cup, aiming for his third award after stellar performances.

Lionel Messi huge favorite to win historic third World Cup Golden

Why this matters

Lionel Messi's potential third Golden Ball win at the World Cup 2026 would solidify his legacy as one of the greatest players in football history. This accolade would not only enhance his individual honors but also serve as a testament to his enduring excellence on the international stage, particularly after leading Argentina to victory in the previous World Cup. As the tournament approaches, Messi's performances will be closely scrutinized, especially given the high expectations surrounding him.

Background

Lionel Messi, the captain of Argentina, is currently the frontrunner for the Golden Ball at the World Cup 2026, following a series of outstanding performances. His ability to score and assist at crucial moments has set him apart from competitors like Rodri and others. Should he win, it would mark a historic third Golden Ball, further enhancing his status in the world of football.

Key Takeaways

  • Lionel Messi huge favorite to win historic third World Cup Golden.
  • Lionel Messi is the favorite to win the Golden Ball at the World Cup, aiming for his third award after stellar performances.
  • Lionel Messi remains central to Argentina's plans.
Lionel Messi is poised to make World Cup history once again, as the Argentina captain is the overwhelming favorite to secure the Golden Ball for the tournament's best player. Currently, Messi leads the betting odds on both prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks, with a staggering 90 percent likelihood of winning the award according to Kalshi. At FanDuel Sportsbook, he is listed as a heavy -1000 favorite, underscoring the strong consensus regarding his status as the tournament's standout performer. Spain midfielder Rodri emerges as the nearest competitor at +600, following an impressive tournament where he has been the linchpin of Spain's midfield. His performance draws parallels to Luka Modric’s Golden Ball-winning campaign in 2018, showcasing his leadership and consistency. Meanwhile, Spain teammates Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal are both priced at +2500, while England's Jude Bellingham and France's Kylian Mbappe sit further back at +3300. Image Rodri has undoubtedly bolstered his own credentials by playing a key role in Spain's progression to the World Cup final; however, Messi's individual performances have been on an altogether different level. With a higher tally of goals, assists, and a series of transformative performances throughout the knockout stages, the Argentine appears set to become the first player to win the World Cup Golden Ball three times. Should Messi claim this accolade, it would mark the third occasion he has lifted the award, following his wins in 2014 and 2022. This unprecedented achievement would further solidify his legacy as one of the greatest players in football history. The Golden Ball is awarded to the best player at the FIFA World Cup, recognizing an individual's overall influence on the tournament rather than merely tallying the most goals. The selection of the Golden Ball winner begins during the tournament, with FIFA’s Technical Study Group assembling a shortlist of exceptional players. Accredited media representatives then vote on these nominees before the tournament concludes, often rendering a winner before the final match is played. This means that the Golden Ball does not necessarily go to a player from the eventual champions. For instance, in 2018, Croatia's Luka Modric won the Golden Ball despite his team losing 4-2 to France in the final, showcasing how individual impact can resonate beyond the final match outcome. Messi's journey in the tournament has echoed similar sentiments, as he looks to lead Argentina to glory while potentially securing his place in footballing folklore once again.

What happens next

As the World Cup 2026 unfolds, all eyes will be on Messi to see if he can maintain his form and secure the Golden Ball. His nearest competitor, Rodri, will need to continue his impressive play to challenge Messi's dominance. Fans and analysts alike will be eager to witness how Messi's contributions influence Argentina's chances of success in the tournament, potentially setting the stage for another historic achievement.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden Ball award?

The Golden Ball is awarded to the best player of the tournament in the World Cup.

Who is the favorite to win the Golden Ball in the World Cup 2026?

Lionel Messi is the overwhelming favorite to win the Golden Ball in the World Cup 2026.

How many times has Lionel Messi won the Golden Ball?

Lionel Messi has previously won the Golden Ball twice, in 2014 and 2022.

Who are Lionel Messi's main competitors for the Golden Ball?

Spain's Rodri is the nearest competitor, followed by teammates Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal, and England's Jude Bellingham and France's Kylian Mbappe.

What teams are competing in the World Cup 2026?

The teams mentioned in the article include Argentina, Spain, England, and France.

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